Being alarmist isn’t going to do us any good. In fact, we are playing into DOGE’S hand. It is disappointing to see reputable news outlets beating the drum of alarm and catastrophizing when what we really need is to remain level-headed. The chances of DOGE destroying Social Security are next to nothing. Too many people are dedicated to their jobs, and even Trump isn’t going to allow something that 71 million Americans depend on to crash and burn. Long before that happens, people within the agency will warn him of the political consequences of his radical ideologies. Just as Trump listens to the stock market when he rails about the benefits of tariffs, when the time it takes to process a Social Security claim becomes untenable, Trump will have to put a check on Musk’s power. Yes, this time there aren’t people around Trump to act as guardrails. But this means that Trump is set to politically self-destruct. In a strange way Trump going after Social Security might be a good thing. It’s his greatest mistake.
People hate chaos. When it comes to things like retirement benefits, they expect their government to be able to respond. There are too many members of Congress who have to listen to too many of their constituents who are too scared that the government they rely on in their everyday lives is ceasing to function. This isn’t why voters put Trump in the White House. Dysfunction was not his mandate. The American people will simply not tolerate, for instance, half an hour wait times to talk with a human being. They will not put up with being told that a process that is notoriously too long already is going to take yet more time. Social Security can be relied on. Millions of people do and should. But the agency has had problems for years. The one thing that Trump has right in that there is a need for reform. But it is the exact opposite of what Trump and Musk are doing. SSA has needed more staff for decades. It has needed a process that is more streamlined and timely for years.
Not only do millions of people get Social Security, millions more assist people who get the benefits–people who work with the disabled and low-income senior citizens in particular. Their frustrations with the program’s problems were set to boil over before Trump. If things get even worse there will be an open revolt. Non-governmental organizations from all over the country will demand the situation be rectified long before things get bad enough that benefits will stop.
Social Security is one of the best ideas that America has ever had. However, change is needed at the agency–in the exact opposite direction DOGE is taking. People can and will understand this. Trump can play to his base. But he is not powerful enough to ignore the entirety of the American people. If he tries, it may be the thing that at last brings him down.